Once the All-Star Game festivities
are done, the Curve front office should go ahead and start preparing
for the playoffs
This team is going to make it, guaranteed
A risky statement, sure, and something Ive been hesitant
to believe most of the season despite the teams stellar
play
The massive personnel losses would have to take a toll at some
point, my thinking went, but that has yet to be the case
Now, given so many factors, its hard to believe the Curve
will undergo the utter collapse it would take for them to miss
the postseason
This team is too good, and most of the Southern Division is so
bad that the Curve should coast into one of the divisions
two playoff spots
Altoona enters the All-Star break sitting comfortably in second
place, just 1-1/2 games behind Akron and 5-1/2 in front of third-place
Harrisburg
No other team is closer than 11-1/2 games back
The Curve have a shot at their second regular-season division
title in three years, and at the very least theyll extend
their league-best playoff appearance streak to four years
Heres why
Reason One
Since the EL went to two divisions in 1994, it has taken an average
of 73 wins to earn a wild-card playoff berth
At 52-36, the Curve only have to go 21-31 over their final 52
games to reach 73 wins
They may need two or three more victories than that to hold off
Harrisburg, but getting to 76 shouldnt be a problem
Reason Two
The Curve have 28 games left at Blair County Ballpark (compared
to 24 on the road), and their 30-13 home record is tops in the
league
Altoona has always been dominant at BCB, and with that much home
cooking left, the club is in great shape
Reason Three
The Curve close the season with an eight-game homestand, so if
they need big wins that late, theres no better place to
be than BCB
Reason Four
Of the 52 games left, 10 are against last-place teams New Britain
(six) and Erie (four)
There are no games left against the top two teams in the Northern
Division, Portland and Trenton, though there are seven games remaining
against a quality Akron club
With first place on the line, though, the Curve will be pumped
up against the Aeros
Reason Five
Harrisburg will have a shot to catch Altoona because the teams
will meet 13 more times
But all the Curve need to do is win six of those games to prevent
the Senators from making up any significant ground
Plus, six of those meetings will be at BCB, where the Curve have
owned Harrisburg over the years with a 51-19 record
The season could come down to a stretch from Aug. 18-27 when Altoona
plays the Senators seven times in 10 days
#
The Curve probably will lose more players to Triple-A during the
second half, namely outfielder Vic Buttler and pitcher Shane Youman
Those two have been outstanding all season and deserve a promotion
But even if those two depart, there are still of bunch of steady
contributors who will be with the club for the long haul
The Pirates, you can bet, also will take care of the Curve if
they have to find replacements for some of the players who move
on
It cant be overstated, too, the job done by manager Tim
Leiper and his coaching staff
They have worked with a revolving-door roster all season, and
theyve lost more talent than many teams had to begin with
Yet here they are, 16 games over .500 and gearing up for what
should be a fantastic pennant race
This has been an amazing and surprising season, the kind that
will end with a playoff berth and perhaps the Curves first
EL championship