Altoona this year will be reaping the "fruits"
of the Pirates' scouting efforts over the last several years
The team will largely be comprised of organizational players and
veteran free agents, as there was very little prospect talent
last year in "Class A"
The Curve should have a few prospects, but most come with large
caveats and probably all will be repeating the level
It's telling that only three players - Chris Hernandez, Jonathan
Albaladejo and Josh Shortslef - will be making their debuts in
"AA"
The lineup figures to be solid but not outstanding, as power will
likely be in short supply
The bullpen should be strong, but the rotation could be a sore
point
Catcher
The Curve's starter should have been Mike McCuistion, a dark horse
prospect coming off a solid year at Lynchburg, but he'll be out
until late in the season, at best, as the result of shoulder surgery
As a LH-hitting catcher with a pretty good bat, he'd have been
an interesting player to watch
Instead, Altoona will have veterans Carlos Maldonado starting
and Octavio Martinez backing up
Maldonado is returning to the Curve after a decent all-around
2005 performance
Martinez is a veteran minor league backup
Corner Infield
The Curve will probably
line up several minor league veterans here - Simon Pond or Brett
Roneberg at 1B, and Travis Chapman at 3B
Pond and Roneberg are very similar players
Both struggled extensively in the lower minors before developing
into solid, if unspectacular, hitters at the "AA" level
Roneberg, who may also be in the OF, spent 2003 at Altoona, then
missed the 2005 season with a shoulder injury
He's had only five ABs in "AAA", while Pond has spent
the equivalent of about a season there and got in a little time
in the majors
Roneberg will open the season on the disabled list, so Pond will
be the starter initially
Chapman may be the most interesting player among the Altoona veterans
He was regarded as a good UT-type prospect with the Phillies,
but missed most of 2004-05 with shoulder injuries
If he's not healthy, the Curve could turn to either of two players
slated initially for Lynchburg - a Dutchman, Vince Rooi and a
Belgian (at least by birth), Brandt Ust
Ust has had some success in "AA" in the past, although
he had a mediocre year last year in "High A"
He'd be the more likely of the two to be promoted
Middle Infield
Altoona's regular middle IF from the latter part of 2005 will
return
Both 2B Craig Stansberry and SS Javier Guzman are now on the 40-man
roster, but both experienced problems with "AA" pitching
last year
They'll be trying to adjust well enough to upper level pitching
to show that they're more than fringe prospects
The infield backups figure to be a pair of prospects who may have
hit a wall in "AA"
Taber Lee and Brandon Chaves began 2005 as the middle IF regulars
in "AA", but lost their jobs when Stansberry and Guzman
were promoted from Lynchburg, which is where Lee and Chaves ended
up
Of the two, Chaves is probably the more likely to re-establish
himself as a fringe prospect, as he was recovering from knee surgery
last year
Lee simply seems to have been overdrafted in Round 3
Outfield
The Altoona OF looks to be a mixture of free agents, organizational
players and overage prospects, and will probably be short on power
The starters are expected to be Vic Buttler in CF, and Rafael
Alvarez and Adam Boeve in the corners
The only one who's arguably a prospect is Boeve, who is 25
He put up big power numbers in "Class A", but gets little
respect from scouts and struggled with offspeed stuff in a couple
months in "AA" last year
He also made a mediocre showing in the Arizona Fall League, and
needs to earn a mid-season promotion to get himself on the prospect
map
Alvarez spent half a year in "AA" with Minnesota long
ago, before moving on to independent ball and the Mexican League,
where he put up good numbers
The Pirates consider him a very solid hitter
Buttler opened 2005 in Altoona, but was sent to Hickory to help
the Crawdads' pitiful offense, then began struggling with injuries
He's probably making the transition to organizational player
The reserves initially will be Rich Thompson and Chaz Lytle
Thompson, who could also eventually see time in "AAA",
will be trying to re-establish himself as a prospect after getting
demoted from "AAA" last year, then posting mediocre
numbers with the Curve
It's possible he'll play semi-regularly, with one of the other
outfielders serving as DH
Lytle is an organizational backup
Other players who could
see time in the OF at some point during the season are Pond, Roneberg, Jeff Cook, Bobby Kingsbury, and Nyjer Morgan
Cook is a free agent signee coming off a strong year in "High
A" in the Diamondbacks' system
He did well enough last year seemingly to earn a shot at "AA",
but the Pirates probably acquired him to boost what figures to
be a woeful Lynchburg offense
Kingsbury has shown some power while moving up slowly through
the system, but he missed half of 2005 with injuries
Neither Cook nor Kingsbury is on the Lynchburg opening roster,
however, so it's possible that either of them has gotten hurt
or been released
Morgan is a speedster who had a mediocre second half with Lynchburg
last year after losing the first half to injury
Finally, another organizational backup who could see time at Altoona
is Matt Meath
Rotation
The Altoona rotation is likely to be weak, as it'll be manned
by some combination of struggling or dubious prospects and questionable
veterans
The most noteworthy is Matt Peterson, who was one of the team's
better prospects until problems with his delivery and lost velocity
led to a very poor 2005 and his removal from the roster
This will be his third year in "AA" and he needs to
get himself straightened out quickly enough to earn a promotion
Two other spots are expected to go to pitchers who arguably qualify
as fringe prospects simply because they're big left-handers -
Shane Youman and Josh Shortslef (not to be confused with Josh
Sharpless)
Youman got some attention from the organization, despite a lackluster
career in relief, when he put together an outstanding series of
games as an emergency starter late in 2005
He didn't help himself, however, with a horrid showing in the
Arizona Fall League
Shortslef has good stuff, but has struggled throughout his career
with inconsistency and injuries
Also expected to start for the Curve are Landon Jacobsen and Mike
Connolly, who'll both be returning for their fourth seasons in
Altoona
Jacobsen struggled with shoulder problems during much of his time
there
The lefty Connolly must be disappointed, as he bounced back well
from elbow problems last year and reached "AAA" late
in the year
Various veterans will get the rest of the starts
The best of these is probably Chris Rojas, who's been a solid
"AA" pitcher for several years, but he may be hurt as
he's not on the roster
Another possibility is Jason Roach, a failed Mets prospect who
pitched poorly both in "AAA" (for Tampa Bay) and at
Altoona last year, but was re-signed
It's also likely that Altoona at some point will get some overflow
from pitchers who don't make the Indianapolis roster, or who get
sent down when there are openings
Some possibilities are Nerio Rodriguez, Ron Chiavacci, Britt Reames,
and Marty McLeary
Bullpen
The Altoona bullpen figures to be a strength, at least until promotions
start taking a toll
The featured reliever will be Josh Sharpless
He's coming off a breakout 2005 season, although he needs to show
his elbow is fine and to improve his control
He'll be in line for a quick promotion if he fares well
The two lefties will be James Johnson and Brady Borner
Johnson is a solid veteran
Borner is coming off an outstanding "AA" campaign, but
is a soft tosser and doesn't seem to get taken seriously as a
prospect
The fact that he'll be 27 in April probably doesn't help
Altoona may have two RH relievers who could establish themselves
as prospects
Jon Albaladejo has disappointed the organization, as he's failed
to get much out of a sometimes-mid-90s fastball, but he made strides
when he moved to the Lynchburg bullpen last year
Chris Hernandez is a sinkerball pitcher who's put up impressive
numbers at times, usually as a closer
He may have gotten himself on the map with a big year in Venezuelan
winter ball
Further possibilities are Jorge Vasquez, Brandon Knight and Melqui
Torres
Vasquez appeared to be an interesting pickup going into training
camp, but he struggled with his control
Knight is a former Rangers and Yankees prospect who spent three
years in Japan
Torres, Salomon's brother, was under consideration for the "AA"
roster but is not on either it or the Lynchburg roster, so he
may have been released
Projections - Position
Players
C - Maldonado
1B/DH - Roneberg, Pond
2B - Stansberry
3B - Chapman
SS - Guzman
OF - Boeve, Buttler, Alvarez, Thompson
Projections - Rotation
Peterson
Youman
Shortslef
Connolly
Roach
Jacobsen
Projections - Key Relievers
Sharpless
Hernandez
Albaladejo
Vasquez
Altoona - Who's Hot
Rotation
Four-fifths of Altoona's rotation has been outstanding
Josh Shortslef, Landon Jacobsen, Matt Peterson and Jason Roach
have combined to go 12-5, 2.30, with a 1.08 WHIP
Peterson may be salvaging his prospect status, as he's posted
a 1.01 WHIP and seemingly solved his control problems, with only
6 walks in 27.2 IP
He has only 17 Ks, though, so he may simply have turned into Justin
Reid
The real story is Shortslef, a 6'4", very athletic lefty
who struggled through the low minors with injuries and inconsistency
Through 5 starts he has a 0.97 WHIP and 7.14 K/9
Bullpen
Most of the Curve's bullpen has been outstanding as well
Josh Sharpless has been the primary closer, going 2-0, 1.42, 6
saves
He's continued to post silly peripheral numbers, with a 0.95 WHIP
and 13.5 K/9, although somehow he's allowed two whole runs
Chris Hernandez, a changeup specialist, may be establishing himself
as a prospect
He doesn't have Sharpless' dominant stuff, but he's posted an
even lower ERA (0.69) and WHIP (0.62), and has issued no walks
while fanning 14 in 13 IP
Jorge Vazquez has allowed only 4 hits while fanning just a hair
under two per inning (20 in 10.1 IP), but his 7 walks have come
in bunches as he's had a couple of control meltdowns
Shane Youman (0.65 WHIP) and Jon Albaladejo (1.24) have done a
good job of keeping runners off base, but neither is striking
out many batters (2.95 K/9 for Youman, 5.87 for Albaladejo)
Veteran Brandon Knight (1.98 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 21 Ks in 13.2 IP)
has been outstanding
Adam Boeve
Boeve had a strong April is now hitting 355/417/505
He's not hitting for the power he did in the lower minors, though,
as he has only 3 HRs and 7 total extra-base hits in 93 ABs
His plate discipline also hasn't been as good as it was at lower
levels, with 10 BBs and 24 Ks
Boeve is limited to an OF corner, so he has to hit for more power
to be a viable prospect
Brandon Chaves
Chaves is probably making life tough for Altoona manager Tim Leiper,
as he's seriously outhitting erstwhile prospects Craig Stansberry
and Javier Guzman
Previously a good-glove, weak-bat middle infielder, Chaves is
now hitting 328/411/475
In fact, Leiper has played him at 3B and even CF, presumably to
get his bat in the lineup
Veteran Hitters
In lieu of actual prospects, the Pirates added a number of veteran
hitters to the Curve, and those hitters are serving them well
Rafael Alvarez (323/382/495) and Simon Pond (253/358/473) have
been solid all year, while
Brett Roneberg has recently returned from the disabled list to
hit 395/410/632
Altoona - Who's Not
Erstwhile Left-Handed Pitching Prospects
Mike Connolly and Brady Borner are both experienced farmhands
who've struggled to get on the prospect map despite mostly very
good performances
Unfortunately, this year both have run into problems
Connolly is now 2-2, 6.11, with a 1.64 WHIP
The bottom has fallen out for Borner following an outstanding
2005 season, as he now has a 9.90 ERA and 2.50 WHIP
Forty-Man Roster Position Players
Craig Stansberry and Javier Guzman are not making the team's decision
to add them to the roster look good
Stansberry is hitting 239/330/391
He's cut down a lot on his Ks, with only 13 in 92 ABs, against
11 walks
Considering that he played most of last year in "AA",
however, he needed to have a good start
A legitimate prospect would be dominating this level by now
Guzman is struggling even more, hitting 231/265/308, with 5 walks
and 19 Ks in 91 ABs
He also has 7 errors
Between these two, Mike Johnston and Rajai Davis, the Pirates
shouldn't have trouble making roster moves for quite a while